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Combining Bitcoin Trend Signals Across Timeframes
I discuss a recent research paper and test its key insights on my own data
Dec 22, 2025
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The FOMC Day Puzzle: Why Every G10 Currency Rallies Against the Dollar
Announcement-day premia, risk-on dynamics, and a simple low-frequency macro overlay
Dec 11, 2025
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Which Sectors Move the Market on Fed Days?
Insights on Sector Behavior Ahead of Next Week’s Fed Meeting
Dec 2, 2025
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An Improved Approach to Momentum Investing
Conditioning Price Trends on Informative Trading Days
Nov 25, 2025
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Implementing a TAA Model Using Futures Instead of ETFs
Contract Selection, Performance, and Portfolio Behavior
Nov 16, 2025
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Combining TAA with Sector Timing
Replacing Broad Beta with Targeted Sector Exposure
Nov 9, 2025
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Sector Timing with Interest Rates
Revisiting Sector Rotation with Rate Changes
Nov 3, 2025
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Do Stop-Loss Rules Add Value in Tactical Asset Allocation?
Testing Whether Stop-Loss Overlays Improve Performance in a Systematic TAA Framework
Oct 26, 2025
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Building a Smarter TAA Model for Stronger Returns and Lower Risk
Incremental Enhancements to a Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy: Boosting Sharpe Ratios and Reducing Downside Risk
Oct 19, 2025
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Robust Skewness as a Source of Commodity Risk Premia
Testing a New Skewness Measure That Delivers Sharpe Ratios up to 0.8.
Oct 10, 2025
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Linearity in Momentum: A Smarter Trend Signal for Asset Allocation
When Smoother Price Paths Make Momentum Stronger
Oct 3, 2025
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Timing Leveraged Equity Exposure in a TAA Model
How a Simple VIX-based Filter Boosts Returns and Reduces Drawdowns
Sep 28, 2025
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